Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.011418 0.013834 0.016856 0.020998 0.026669 0.034387 0.046115
2025-03-02 0.008116 0.010673 0.014282 0.020000 0.029379 0.045344 0.077959
2025-03-09 0.006539 0.009051 0.012881 0.019580 0.032135 0.057789 0.127060
2025-03-16 0.005686 0.008197 0.012275 0.020040 0.036466 0.076694 0.226418
2025-03-23 0.005010 0.007451 0.011612 0.020093 0.039980 0.097556 0.401406
2025-03-30 0.004376 0.006646 0.010652 0.019224 0.040928 0.112801 0.640829
2025-04-06 0.003925 0.006078 0.009999 0.018784 0.042773 0.134251 1.152523
2025-04-13 0.003657 0.005788 0.009807 0.019307 0.047715 0.177852 3.100769
2025-04-20 0.003511 0.005691 0.009969 0.020725 0.056632 0.267021 22.425887
2025-04-27 0.003335 0.005512 0.009927 0.021618 0.064654 0.387118 8359.574507
2025-05-04 0.003117 0.005222 0.009593 0.021617 0.069293 0.509279 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002924 0.004961 0.009280 0.021585 0.073985 0.677350 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002712 0.004662 0.008894 0.021425 0.079309 0.964641 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002474 0.004289 0.008284 0.020414 0.079563 1.198274 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002296 0.004022 0.007886 0.019982 0.083126 1.695942 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002184 0.003878 0.007764 0.020456 0.093615 3.256694 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002065 0.003706 0.007543 0.020510 0.101736 6.257352 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001920 0.003463 0.007104 0.019616 0.101306 8.806246 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001807 0.003282 0.006801 0.019164 0.104538 15.977644 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001742 0.003199 0.006749 0.019702 0.118701 84.123205 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001711 0.003191 0.006898 0.021160 0.147790 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001664 0.003139 0.006917 0.022079 0.175076 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.001594 0.003029 0.006749 0.022078 0.190026 NaN NaN